Economy Forex News

GBP/USD recovers from daily lows hovering around 1.3750

  • Market sentiment bearish as investors weigh Q4 economic outlook and US fiscal policy woes.
  • UK Treasury unveils £75 billion budget, cut taxes on pubs and restaurants.
  • UK economy to grow 6.5% by year-end.
  • US durable goods orders were better than expected, but contracted.

GBP/USD declined during the U.S. session, down 0.12%, trading at 1.3748 at the time of writing.

Investor sentiment was negatively affected by month-end flows, portfolio reshuffling, economic growth concerns and US fiscal policy issues. As evidenced by falling US equity indices. Safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and US dollar are benefiting from flight to safety.



Finance minister Rishi Sunak, in a statement to the Parliament, announced a £75 billion budget that reduces taxes on pubs and restaurants, lowers alcohol tariffs, and increases support for the poorest citizens.

According to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the U.K. economy contracted by almost 10% in 2020. But is forecast to grow by 6.5%. Additionally, the OBR expects inflation to average 4%, double the Bank of England’s target, which the BoE is aware of, as some policymakers have expressed concern about high prices.

GBP/USD traders are focused on USD dynamics and developments since the UK economic docket is absent. In the U.S., durable good orders contracted 0.4% in September, less than analysts expected. Meanwhile, Non-Defense orders, excluding aircraft, increased 0.8%, up from 0.5% estimated.

GBP/USD traders will be watching the U.S Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter. Which is expected to be 2.5% on Thursday.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

The daily moving averages (DMAs) above the spot price indicate a slightly bearish trend. Except for the 50-day moving average of 1.3705, which was tested earlier today.

Moreover, the price action indicates that selling pressure was increasing on the pair. But it failed to break below the 50 DMA.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 52, indicating that the downtrend could accelerate, but a piercing of the 50 midline would confirm the above.

A daily close below the 50 DMA could push GBP/USD below 1.3700. There are many key support levels to watch. The first support is the low of April 12 at 1.3669. Followed by the low of October 12 at 1.35.67, and then the low of 2021 at 1.3411


Michelle D. Madsen

Michelle D. Madsen graduated from the University of Westminster and has been deeply involved in the world of finance ever since. She has worked as a Broadcast Journalist hosting various news shows and informative webcasts about the financial markets. Since 2004 she has also been writing for Metanews daily, her attention to detail, and her in-depth knowledge of the financial markets have led her to cover Foreign Exchange and commodities. The world of finance has changed in the last few years with the introduction and rising popularity of cryptocurrencies. She has in no means been left behind, adding this to her bank of intellect and is now also an expert in cryptocurrencies. For the last ten years, Ms. Madsen has been engaged in the financial market. She has notedly written a great number of incredibly informative reviews for the crypto exchange and forex brokers. Her wealth of knowledge has enabled her to become a leading expert in the field. She continues to inform the public writing up-to-date, thorough reviews for the readers of Metanews as she has for the last decade.
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