Intel’s intends to displace DRAM memory with new Optane. earnings being last the business provided information to indicate that 3D XPoint (which Intel sells as Optane memory) may have finally reached break-even. This is big news for the growing memory globe because it is known that the company has been subsidizing Optane manufacturing so its costs are about half those of DRAM memory, which.
The details that is following from a blog by Jim Handy, a colleague and analyst covering memory technologies and shows why Intel may finally have achieved enough production volume to reach manufacturing break-even on its Optane memory. The material that is after from Jim’s Blog.
“The chart below shows profits for NAND flash makers from 2016 through many quarter that is present. It’s a way that is rough of major NAND flash manufacturers’ business. As of August 14, all major NAND makers have reported their earnings for the quarter that is second of.”
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Showing profitability that is quarterly of manufacturers
Quarterly profitability of NAND Flash Manufacturers IMAGE FROM JIM HANDY BLOG
Jim goes on to give the observations that are following this chart. The margins shown for Samsung, SK hynix and Micron are for DRAM and NAND flash combined. Operating margins are shown for most companies, but WDC only states the margin that is gross its flash business. Intel’s margin is for its Solutions that is non-volatile GroupNSG) and includes NAND flash and products based on 3D XPoint memory.
“The essential take-away from this chart is that Intel’s NSG margins have been negative every quarter except for 4Q17, 3Q18, and last quarter, 2Q20. During 2017 & 2018 the other NAND flash makers had profits that are impressive. Why didn’t Intel?
The Memory Guy guesses that Intel was profiting from its NAND flash business as much as its peers, but the 3D XPoint Optane effort was drawing all of those profits from the continuing business, and more, to cause losses.
In fact, you’ll be able to calculate XPoint losses of about $2 billion for 2017, another $2 billion for 2018, and $1.5 billion for 2019! in the event that you estimate that Intel’s NSG group’s NAND profit was equal to your average of its competitors,”
Jim’s chart shows that Intel’s margin that is operating the NSG group in CQ2 2020 was about 19%, close to the running margin of the other flash memory companies. Thus it really is reasonable to assume that the combined group’s NAND earnings are not any longer being offset by its Optane losses.
Then it could start to generate a profit on this company for Intel and can help to attract other businesses (perhaps Micron) in order to make 3D XPoint memory also if optane is passing manufacturing break even.
In Jim’s and my Emerging Memories Find their Direction Report we project the development of emerging memories such as 3D XPoint and MRAM as well as DRAM and NAND flash. The figure below is from that report.
Showing projections of memory shipments
Petabyte Shipments of 3D XPoint, MRAM, DRAM and NAND IMAGE FROM EMERGING MEMORIES FIND THEIR Method
New applications as well as displacement of existing memories will drive the use of non-volatile memory technology. Emerging performance that is high memories like Intel’s Optane and MRAM will enable significant changes to computer systems, servers and embedded products, making them more efficient and powerful.
Intel break that is reaching on its Optane memory could be a genuine accomplishment and an indicator of things to come for appearing non-volatile memories. Fast non-volatile memories will transform computer and embedded device architectures and enable the connected, IoT world of tomorrow. Intel’s intends to displace DRAM memory with new Optane.